Pavia U19 vs CD Santa Fe U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
15º
11º
44
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
PAV
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAV
0 - 1
MAL
22%
20%
58%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
PAV
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAV
3 - 1
CDC
56%
20%
25%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 0
PAV
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Fe U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
LAC
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATJ
0 - 1
SAN
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LID
0 - 0
SAN
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
GRA
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 1
SAN
35%
22%
44%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |