Vecindario vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ULP
2 - 1
VEC
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
RMC
3 - 1
VEC
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
VEC
1 - 1
RVB
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CDB
4 - 0
VEC
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VEC
2 - 4
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
LUG
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
CEL
40%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
3 - 3
LEG
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 0
CEL
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CEL
3 - 1
ATB
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |