Vecindario vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
LEG
1 - 0
VEC
56%
26%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
VEC
5 - 2
SSR
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 1
VEC
25%
29%
47%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
VEC
1 - 1
ALC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 1
VEC
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATB
22%
28%
50%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
RAY
1 - 0
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 0
MLL
29%
29%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FUE
0 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CAS
2 - 1
ART
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |