Vecindario vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
VEC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VEC
3 - 0
OVI
26%
28%
46%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATB
1 - 1
VEC
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VEC
1 - 1
LUG
22%
26%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
VEC
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 2
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
OVI
1 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 3
ATB
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |