Vecindario vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
VEC
53%
26%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
VEC
1 - 0
PUE
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 0
VEC
27%
28%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VEC
1 - 1
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 1
VEC
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
CER
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CDT
5 - 1
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 2
SPB
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CPC
0 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |