Valle de Aranguren Sub 19 vs Peña Sport FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
15º
9º
19
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valle de Aranguren Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDT
3 - 2
VDA
34%
22%
45%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VDA
3 - 1
CDP
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDI
2 - 1
VDA
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 2
VDA
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VDA
2 - 1
CDA
24%
21%
56%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Peña Sport FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 3
CDA
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
0 - 3
PEN
80%
14%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ALS
0 - 4
PEN
45%
21%
34%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OSA
7 - 0
PEN
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
ADS
20%
22%
59%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |