UD Torre Del Mar vs FC Málaga City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
3º
0
18º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
2 | 71 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 67 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 62 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 49 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 48 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 43 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 41 |
13º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 34 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 33 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 64% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Torre Del Mar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDT
20%
21%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UDT
2 - 1
PAL
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UDT
0 - 2
JUV
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RJA
0 - 0
UDT
62%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDT
1 - 1
RJA
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 3
CDE
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HUE
4 - 0
CDM
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
CDM
69%
19%
11%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
CDM
69%
20%
11%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
CDM
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |