Tamaraceite vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
9º
16º
13º
0
14º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 70 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 68 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 44 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
18º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 54% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
2 - 1
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 0
TAM
87%
10%
2%
|
24 | 80 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
VSB
3 - 3
TAM
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 3
LAN
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDT
3 - 0
TAM
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
LPA
22%
23%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
ING
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SNI
2 - 5
EST
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
BLP
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LOM
3 - 0
EST
19%
21%
61%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |