Tamaraceite vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
15º
4º
33
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 25 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 20 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77.5% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 0
UNV
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 4
TAM
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
2 - 0
CSM
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 0
UDI
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
TAM
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
ARU
0 - 1
LPA
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HBN
0 - 0
ARU
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ARU
1 - 0
SBA
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CSU
2 - 1
ARU
30%
25%
46%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 5
ARU
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |