UD Talavera vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
TOM
3 - 0
UDT
33%
28%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
UDT
1 - 1
HEL
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
UDT
29%
28%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDT
1 - 0
VRU
46%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
UDT
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
CIU
3 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HEL
3 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VRU
6 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |