UD Sur Sub 19 vs Victoria CF Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+252%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
7º
32
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
PUE
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
UDS
64%
20%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
3 - 1
UDS
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 5
UNI
22%
21%
58%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria CF Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
VIC
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUE
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 1
VIC
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
PON
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COL
5 - 2
VIC
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |