UD Sur U19 vs Puente Castro FC Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
15º
11º
14
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 69 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 42 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NUM
0 - 1
UDS
83%
12%
5%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UDS
0 - 3
CDP
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
UDS
40%
25%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 0
UDS
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 2
COL
27%
22%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puente Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
BUR
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
PUE
73%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
4 - 1
ZAM
62%
19%
19%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
8 - 0
PUE
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 4
LEO
13%
20%
67%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |