Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-2
UD Sanse vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 1
SSR
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
LEA
1 - 4
SSR
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
SEG
1 - 2
SSR
27%
29%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
SSR
5 - 2
PON
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
FUE
1 - 1
SSR
46%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
AVI
2 - 0
LEA
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
LEA
1 - 4
SSR
36%
28%
36%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
LEA
0 - 0
SIE
57%
24%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MOS
0 - 2
LEA
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEA
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |