Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-2
UD Sanse vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SSR
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SSR
4 - 1
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SSR
1 - 1
POZ
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
NAV
2 - 0
SSR
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSR
0 - 1
VLO
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
BAD
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BAD
2 - 0
CER
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
POR
0 - 3
CER
10%
22%
67%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CER
1 - 0
PON
78%
16%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CER
18%
25%
58%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |