UD Santa Marta vs La Virgen del Camino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
2 - 0
STM
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STM
0 - 2
ZAM
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BUR
1 - 0
STM
52%
24%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ACF
3 - 0
STM
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
STM
3 - 2
SDA
34%
25%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
La Virgen del Camino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LVC
2 - 1
SDA
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AST
2 - 0
LVC
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LVC
2 - 0
GRA
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 1
LVC
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LVC
0 - 2
LEO
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |