UD Santa Marta vs Real Ávila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
STM
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CIU
1 - 0
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
NUM
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LVC
4 - 1
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
0 - 1
LVC
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
AVI
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
1 - 0
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 3
AVI
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AVI
4 - 0
CAB
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |