UD Santa Marta vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
STM
0 - 0
VAL
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SEG
3 - 1
STM
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
STM
0 - 0
GRA
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 0
STM
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CFP
0 - 3
LVC
74%
18%
9%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
CFP
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CFP
2 - 2
CAT
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SDA
2 - 1
CFP
14%
22%
63%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CFP
2 - 0
SAL
76%
18%
7%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |