UD Santa Marta vs Burgos CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
STM
1 - 2
ACF
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SDA
0 - 0
STM
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
STM
1 - 0
AST
19%
23%
59%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
STM
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
STM
0 - 3
CDG
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
SDA
34%
25%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
BUR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
BUR
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 0
SJO
79%
14%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |