UD Santa Marta vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CIU
1 - 0
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
NUM
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LVC
4 - 1
STM
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
STM
2 - 0
TOR
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 4
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AST
2 - 1
LVC
65%
19%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 0
AST
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AST
2 - 3
COL
77%
14%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 2
AST
31%
27%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AST
0 - 1
CAB
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |