UD Santa Marta vs SD Almazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
16º
11º
25
5º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
41 | 74 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 60 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 53 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 49 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 48 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 48 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 47 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 43 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 39 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
16º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
17º
|
40.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68.5% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 17 |
19º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
STM
85%
10%
4%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STM
1 - 3
SAL
13%
25%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
STM
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Almazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
1 - 3
SDA
24%
25%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
SDA
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 0
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SDA
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |