UD Santa Marta vs SD Almazán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
12º
18º
17º
1
5º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
3 | 78 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 71 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 67 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 66 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 63 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 45 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 44 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 37 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 32 |
19º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 3
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
STM
3 - 2
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
STM
85%
10%
4%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STM
1 - 3
SAL
13%
25%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
STM
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Almazán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PON
1 - 3
SDA
24%
25%
52%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
SDA
65%
21%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 0
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
SDA
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |