UD San Fernando vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 0
PAN
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 1
ECI
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
ECI
2 - 0
UDS
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
UDS
3 - 0
TUI
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TUI
1 - 2
UDS
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CRD
0 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
MAD
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 1
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 4
GRA
7%
16%
77%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |