UD San Fernando vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 3
UDS
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
UDS
1 - 2
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
SDT
0 - 4
UDS
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
UDS
3 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 2
UNV
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
2 - 1
LAN
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 2
LAN
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 0
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LAN
1 - 1
TAM
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |