Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 4-2
UD San Fernando vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
UDS
0 - 0
VSB
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VSB
1 - 1
UDS
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 1
LPA
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LPA
1 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 0
UDS
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 1
DEU
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 2
LEI
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LEI
2 - 0
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEI
52%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |