UD San Fernando vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
CSU
3 - 2
UDS
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
UNV
1 - 2
UDS
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
0 - 0
LPA
12%
20%
67%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 1
COT
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
UDI
6 - 1
COT
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 0
UDI
30%
26%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
ARU
0 - 2
UDI
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |