UD San Fernando vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
15º
3º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
TAM
0 - 2
UDS
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
0 - 1
PAN
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 3
UDS
12%
18%
69%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDS
3 - 0
CSU
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
YAI
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UPR
6 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
PAN
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UDI
4 - 3
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |