UD Pavía vs Zapillo Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PAV
3 - 2
VIL
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIA
1 - 1
PAV
21%
24%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PAV
1 - 3
CAÑ
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HUE
0 - 0
PAV
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zapillo Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
ZAP
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ZAP
1 - 3
ALM
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ZAP
1 - 3
CDP
42%
21%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
0 - 4
ZAP
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ZAP
2 - 2
CDM
69%
16%
15%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |