UD Pavía vs Las Norias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PAV
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 2
CDV
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NIJ
2 - 1
PAV
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAV
0 - 0
MAA
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIA
2 - 0
PAV
21%
23%
57%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Las Norias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
LNO
62%
21%
17%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LNO
5 - 3
COM
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
LNO
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LNO
2 - 0
NIJ
13%
17%
71%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAA
2 - 0
LNO
77%
13%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |