UD Pavía vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAV
57%
21%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 0
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAV
0 - 4
CDR
22%
25%
54%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
PAV
64%
21%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PAV
1 - 2
ALH
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 4
BER
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALH
0 - 1
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDL
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDL
19%
22%
59%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |