UD Pavía vs Sporting de Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NIJ
0 - 3
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PAV
0 - 0
CDM
74%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PDG
1 - 1
PAV
25%
24%
51%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
PAV
5 - 1
ZAP
80%
12%
7%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
PDG
50%
20%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
ALM
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
0 - 2
CAR
44%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDB
1 - 1
ALM
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
3 - 1
CDM
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |