UD Pavía vs Cd Oriente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CDU
0 - 4
PAV
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAV
5 - 1
ARE
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CHU
3 - 2
PAV
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PAV
1 - 0
VAN
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NIJ
3 - 2
PAV
13%
20%
67%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cd Oriente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 3
BAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CDV
5 - 0
ORI
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ORI
3 - 2
CDM
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
ORI
20%
24%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HUE
3 - 0
ORI
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |