UD Pavía vs Carboneras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NIJ
3 - 3
PAV
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAA
3 - 1
PAV
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 0
CÉL
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
PEJ
0 - 0
PAV
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carboneras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 4
HUE
8%
15%
77%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HUE
7 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PDG
8%
16%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ATF
14%
19%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |