Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-6
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
UDL
5 - 0
GRA
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
GRA
2 - 0
UDL
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
UDL
1 - 1
CCF
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 0
UDL
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
UDL
2 - 1
LEV
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
CDO
1 - 0
VAD
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
VAD
5 - 0
CDO
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 0
MLL
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ZAR
5 - 1
VAD
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
VAD
3 - 1
RMA
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | +1 |