Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
UDL
3 - 0
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
HER
1 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
UDL
0 - 0
OVI
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
RAC
2 - 1
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
RSO
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
OVI
3 - 0
RSO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
RSO
3 - 2
RAC
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
RSO
2 - 0
GRA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |