Las Palmas vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
79%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
13º
20º
17º
49
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 88 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 83 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 81 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 67 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 66 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 55 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 50 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 46 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 39 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
19º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 37 |
18º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 36 |
19º
|
18% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 30 |
20º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 28% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
40% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
UDL
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 2
SEV
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
UDL
86%
10%
3%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 0
TAM
87%
10%
2%
|
80 | 25 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 0
YAI
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
3 - 0
VAD
84%
12%
4%
|
99 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 1
RMA
7%
15%
78%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 1
CHL
66%
20%
15%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
57%
22%
21%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |