Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 1-5
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
UDL
0 - 1
ZAR
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ATM
3 - 0
UDL
79%
12%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
UDL
1 - 5
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
UDL
3 - 2
VAD
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VCF
2 - 2
UDL
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1957 |
MUD
2 - 2
RMA
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
RMA
4 - 1
CEL
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RMA
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1957 |
RMA
3 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
UDL
1 - 5
RMA
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |