Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-0
Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
UDL
27%
25%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
SAB
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
4 - 2
RAC
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
UDL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 2
ALM
23%
24%
52%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 5
FCB
6%
15%
79%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
RAY
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 2
RMA
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |