Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 7-1
Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAD
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
CDT
1 - 1
UDL
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 2
UDL
31%
30%
39%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
UDL
1 - 0
LOG
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
UDL
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
ALC
4 - 1
RAY
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
3 - 2
HOS
68%
22%
10%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
XER
0 - 0
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
3 - 1
LIN
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1984 |
RAY
1 - 2
UDL
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |