Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 8-3
Las Palmas vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 0
UDL
51%
26%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
UDL
3 - 1
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
UDL
1 - 0
SLA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
HER
3 - 1
UDL
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
RAC
4 - 1
HER
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
HER
1 - 1
ATM
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
HER
3 - 1
UDL
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |