Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-2
Las Palmas vs CD Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
UDL
0 - 0
SLA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
UDL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 1
UDL
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
HER
1 - 2
UDL
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
UDL
3 - 0
RAC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
UDL
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ZAR
3 - 1
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
MAL
3 - 1
CCF
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
TER
3 - 0
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |