UD Orensana vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
18.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
GIM
62%
18%
20%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ORE
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
ORE
0 - 0
RCF
46%
20%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
LLE
4 - 1
ORE
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SDE
0 - 1
ORE
43%
24%
34%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 0
RCF
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 4
RCF
37%
21%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GIM
4 - 1
SGL
61%
18%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
8 - 0
SGL
86%
9%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
22%
37%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |