Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 1-5
UD Orensana vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ORE
3 - 0
LEM
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
PON
2 - 0
ORE
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ORE
4 - 1
SAN
59%
20%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SGL
3 - 1
ORE
62%
18%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ORE
2 - 1
PON
62%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 1
BET
86%
9%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SGL
4 - 0
RCF
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
LEM
3 - 0
SGL
40%
22%
38%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -3 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SGL
3 - 1
ORE
62%
18%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
CFP
4 - 0
SGL
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |