UD Orensana vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
AVI
3 - 0
ORE
55%
20%
25%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ORE
4 - 2
CAU
83%
10%
7%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ORE
7 - 0
PON
79%
12%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ACF
0 - 1
ORE
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
ORE
3 - 1
BER
77%
13%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ATB
2 - 2
ZAR
32%
22%
45%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
ZAR
5 - 2
CON
88%
8%
4%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
IGU
2 - 4
ZAR
33%
22%
45%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ZAR
1 - 0
SDE
88%
8%
4%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
ATZ
2 - 5
ZAR
34%
23%
44%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |