UD Orensana vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Orensana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
PON
2 - 0
ORE
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ORE
4 - 1
SAN
59%
20%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SGL
3 - 1
ORE
62%
18%
20%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ORE
2 - 1
PON
62%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CAD
3 - 1
ORE
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SAN
3 - 1
LEM
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
LEM
3 - 0
SGL
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
PON
4 - 0
LEM
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
LEM
5 - 2
CAD
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
RCF
0 - 1
LEM
87%
8%
4%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | +1 |