UD Oliveirense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 0
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
0 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 2
OLI
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
UNM
2 - 3
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
UNM
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
UNM
3 - 2
AVE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 2
UNM
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |