UD Oliveirense vs Arronches e Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
6 - 0
GUA
72%
16%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MON
3 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
3 - 2
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 3
OLI
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Arronches e Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAB
3 - 3
VAS
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |