UD Oliveirense vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 1
OLI
22%
28%
50%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 1
TRO
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
OLI
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
BMA
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 2
OLI
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
50%
28%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
FEI
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
AVE
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |