UD Oliveirense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
OLI
7%
16%
77%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
FEL
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
OLI
25%
25%
51%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 3
FAF
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
OLI
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 3
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
PEV
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAO
48%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 1
CAN
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |