UD Oliveirense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
OLI
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 2
FCP
6%
15%
80%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
FEI
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FAT
2 - 5
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FAT
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
FAT
1 - 0
FEI
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |