UD Oliveirense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
FEI
38%
26%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UNM
2 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
ACV
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 0
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 2
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 1
FAR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FAR
1 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TON
0 - 0
FAR
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FAR
2 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |