UD Oliveirense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
OLI
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
ANA
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
OLI
18%
24%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VSC
2 - 1
OLI
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 3
LUS
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 2
FAF
22%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
FAF
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
FAF
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |